← Serie B 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| Brescia win | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1456.74 | 1494.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.29 | 17.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |