← Serie B 2006-07 · Tue, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.70 |
| Brescia win | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1064.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1470.75 | 1503.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.81 | 37.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.49 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |