← Serie B 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Messina win | 61% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.10 |
| Treviso win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Messina | Treviso |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1539.31 | 1433.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.07 | 18.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| league points | 65.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.21 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |