← Serie B 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| ACF Fiorentina win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.60 |
| Messina win | 16% | 5.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ACF Fiorentina | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1179.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1483.69 | 1554.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.58 | 28.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| league points | 59.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.71 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |