← Serie B 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 46% | 1.91 |
| Livorno win | 39% | 2.25 |
| Messina win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 285.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1491.73 | 1481.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.39 | -9.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |