← Primeira Liga 2004-05 · Sun, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leiria win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Setubal win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leiria | Setubal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1545.64 | 1495.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.84 | 21.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |