← Primeira Liga 2004-05 · Mon, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Vitória SC win | 58% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Penafiel win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitória SC | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1578.37 | 1501.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.50 | 22.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |