← Primeira Liga 2004-05 · Sun, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Setubal win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Nacional | Setubal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1569.81 | 1474.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.73 | -34.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 34.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.69 | -1.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |