← Primeira Liga 2004-05 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| CD Nacional win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 222.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1758.57 | 1550.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.14 | 4.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.29 |
| state index | 1.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |