← Primeira Liga 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Est Amadora win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pacos Ferreira | Est Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 172.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1439.05 | 1294.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.23 | -14.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| state index | -0.61 | -1.96 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |