← Primeira Liga 2003-04 · Sun, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Leiria win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Alverca | Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1425.34 | 1512.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.44 | 0.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |