← Primeira Liga 2003-04 · Sun, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| CD Nacional win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Nacional | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1560.33 | 1751.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.67 | 21.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 34.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 2.14 |
| state index | 0.85 | 1.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |