← Primeira Liga 2003-04 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Belenenses win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Academica win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Belenenses | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1484.61 | 1458.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.17 | -7.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |