← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Varzim win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Academica win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Varzim | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1427.81 | 1475.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.47 | -6.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 35.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |