← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Varzim win | 49% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Setubal win | 24% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Varzim | Setubal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1421.01 | 1428.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.03 | -26.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| league points | 32.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| state index | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |