← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Academica win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Moreirense FC win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Academica | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1474.02 | 1535.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.38 | 34.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |