← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Setubal win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Academica win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Setubal | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1437.22 | 1481.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.27 | -4.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 23.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| state index | -1.09 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |