← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Varzim win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Beira Mar win | 28% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Varzim | Beira Mar |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1436.67 | 1448.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.40 | 27.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 29.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.96 |
| state index | -1.47 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |