← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Academica win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| CD Nacional win | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Academica | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1483.11 | 1498.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.94 | -11.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 26.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |