← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Setubal win | 40% | 2.25 |
| CD Nacional win | 32% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Setubal | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1455.62 | 1502.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.74 | 11.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |