← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Fri, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Belenenses win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Moreirense FC | Belenenses |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1500.89 | 1530.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.14 | 2.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.29 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |