← Primeira Liga 2002-03 · Mon, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Leiria win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Nacional | Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1503.54 | 1576.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.33 | -0.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 27.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.45 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |