← Eredivisie 2004-05 · Sat, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 71% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Waalwijk win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1253.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1781.98 | 1531.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.26 | 17.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 68.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.42 |
| state index | 1.90 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |