← Eredivisie 2004-05 · Sun, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AZ win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| NAC Breda win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AZ | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 898.00 | 1751.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1693.99 | 1468.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.14 | -25.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.20 |
| league points | 60.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.22 | 1.07 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |