← Eredivisie 2004-05 · Thu, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 73% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Willem II Tilburg win | 10% | 9.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1223.00 | 2837.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1752.72 | 1461.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.58 | -0.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |