← Eredivisie 2004-05 · Sun, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 37% | 2.37 |
| PSV win | 33% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1205.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1784.86 | 1843.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.53 | 16.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.21 | 2.56 |
| state index | 1.49 | 2.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |