← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Sun, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Willem II Tilburg win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Willem II Tilburg | AFC Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2511.00 | 897.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1520.45 | 1784.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.24 | -3.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 49.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 2.33 |
| state index | 0.26 | 1.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |