← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 73% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| NAC Breda win | 9% | 11.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 890.00 | 1408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1779.60 | 1551.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.30 | -27.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 74.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.34 |
| state index | 1.63 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |