← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 54% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| NEC win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | NEC | AFC Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 876.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1468.48 | 1779.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.32 | -6.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| state index | -0.66 | 1.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |