← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Vitesse win | 38% | 2.40 |
| NAC Breda win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitesse | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1562.00 | 1380.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1434.78 | 1566.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.94 | -3.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 21.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.36 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |