← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Fri, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| NEC win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Willem II Tilburg win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | NEC | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2467.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1464.26 | 1539.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.29 | 6.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 28.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |