← Eredivisie 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Waalwijk win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waalwijk | AFC Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1525.14 | 1775.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.76 | -26.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 30.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.39 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |