← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sat, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AZ win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Willem II Tilburg win | 27% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AZ | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 2139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1486.08 | 1493.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.64 | -17.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |