← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| NEC win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| SBV Excelsior win | 16% | 5.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | NEC | SBV Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1516.43 | 1402.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.82 | -47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 36.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 15.96 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |