← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 80% | 1.10 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.00 |
| SBV Excelsior win | 7% | 13.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 470.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1736.11 | 1417.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.36 | -54.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.30 | 0.83 |
| state index | 1.53 | -1.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |