← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sun, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 70% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 19% | 4.75 |
| Vitesse win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 456.00 | 1156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1724.00 | 1511.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.21 | -21.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.24 | 0.95 |
| state index | 1.52 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |