← Bundesliga 2004-05 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 21 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 2819.00 | 1570.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1539.23 | 1553.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.46 | 38.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.60 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |