← Bundesliga 2004-05 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 3246.00 | 2212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1532.46 | 1705.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.24 | -21.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 42.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 12.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 21.00 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.94 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |