← Bundesliga 2003-04 · Sat, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| 1. FC Köln win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 24 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 691.00 | 4069.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1549.19 | 1446.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.62 | -0.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |