← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 53% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.87 |
| US Lecce win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 332.00 | 1063.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1558.94 | 1580.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.80 | 9.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 43.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |