← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Messina win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 41% | 2.15 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Messina | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 684.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1578.68 | 1573.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.25 | -10.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |