← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 49% | 1.83 |
| Livorno win | 27% | 3.25 |
| Siena win | 24% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Siena |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 127.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1577.63 | 1552.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.28 | 24.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |