← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta BC win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Messina win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Atalanta BC | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 4206.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1541.46 | 1588.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.45 | 18.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 31.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |