← Serie A 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| ACF Fiorentina win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1549.00 | 1276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1520.67 | 1824.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.75 | -6.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 2.21 |
| state index | -0.34 | 1.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |