← Serie A 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Milan | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1269.00 | 1027.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1819.77 | 1570.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.55 | -9.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 70.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| state index | 1.61 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |