← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Messina win | 19% | 4.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 465.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1636.45 | 1569.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.38 | 23.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| league points | 44.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 20.96 | 20.96 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |