← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Siena win | 24% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Siena |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 283.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1564.71 | 1528.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.59 | 5.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 20.96 | 21.96 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |