← Serie A 2004-05 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
| Messina win | 22% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 255.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1559.04 | 1553.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.37 | 0.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |