← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Perugia win | 32% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Roma | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2504.00 | 1408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1771.99 | 1500.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.92 | -1.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 70.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| state index | 1.52 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |