← Serie A 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna FC 1909 win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.50 |
| US Lecce win | 22% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bologna FC 1909 | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1774.00 | 2504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1533.26 | 1548.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.36 | 24.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 38.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |